From the Archives-written by ChatGPT. Both became dramatically more confident in AI’s capabilities while remaining optimistic about its economic potential. Their differences concern how benefits ...

We show that AI-generated article reviews are now better, by every measure we could construct, than reviews written by well-compensated human experts and judged to be of unusually high quality by ...

AI issues its judgment: 138 papers audited 2,035 problems found 147 serious enough to change a headline number 69% of papers have at least one 97% of major and moderate errors with a clear direction ...

Does generative AI narrow or widen productivity gaps in research? We study the distributional effects of AI on research productivity in economics using evidence from three sources: NBER working-paper ...

Every year, we pull the most recent data from the US Census on household wealth, cut by age. …invariably, the students’ ...

That is the topic of my latest Free Press column (now there are gift links!), here is one excerpt, noting this is a worst-case scenario not a prediction: Yet current systems are likely to prove more ...

Emily Bazelon was the moderator, there were five of us in the symposium.  Excerpt from me: Bores: Do you think the federal government pre-empting the states is consistent with democracy? Cowen: ...

It would take true Milei-like ardour to slice through Brazil’s economic troubles. These are caused by a gnarly mix of high public spending, stubborn inflation and low saving. The result is a crippling ...

Zahan Turel, a backend engineer and eighth-generation Zoroastrian priest from Surat, received a grant to digitize his community’s manuscripts and liturgical records before they are lost. Aditya Vijay, ...

More likely than interference with the election is that unsuccessful office-seekers will refuse to concede, claiming their opponents cheated. Nothing is more basic to democratic legitimacy than the ...

This paper examines the revenue and migration impact of the 2026 California Billionaire Tax Act, a one-time 5 percent tax on the worldwide net worth of individuals exceeding $1 billion. Using data ...

No surprise to me but a new paper looks at the forecast accuracy of over one million prediction questions from Polymarket, ...