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Russia Expands Radar Surveillance of Europe: How a New Station in Kaliningrad Is Changing Moscow’s Intelligence Capabilities

Russia’s construction of a new over-the-horizon radar (OTHR) station in the Kaliningrad region may indicate Moscow’s intention to strengthen its strategic early-warning system and expand its ability ...
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Russia Rebuilds Strategic Reserves Near NATO: Preparations for a New War or Long-Term Rearmament?

Reports that Russian storage bases were replenished with tanks, armored personnel carriers, and artillery systems during 2026 may indicate an important shift in the allocation of resources within ...
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Marine Le Pen as a Potential Instrument for Blocking European Support for Ukraine: The EU Budget, French Elections, and the Kremlin’s Strategic Interests

Statements by Marine Le Pen, leader of France’s far-right National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN), threatening to block the European Union’s 2028–2034 budget and end bilateral military assistance ...
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The Irkutsk Incident Tests the Transparency of Russia’s Biosafety System

Twenty-eight-year-old Daria Shipilova, an employee of the Irkutsk Anti-Plague Research Institute, died after developing severe pneumonia. About 200 contacts were placed under medical observation, some ...
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“Putin’s Trap: How the Fear of Losing Power Could Become a Threat to the Regime He Built”

The paradox of Russia’s current political system is that the measures intended to guarantee Vladimir Putin’s personal security — continuing the war, eliminating alternative centers of power, ...
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“The Valdai Signal to Trump: How Putin Is Trying to Change the Terms of the U.S. Peace Plan”

Vladimir Putin’s speech at the Valdai Club meeting on October 1, 2026, is important less for the novelty of Russia’s demands than for the moment at which they were formulated. It came after an ...
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“Two Kilometers from NATO: Russian Strikes Are Creating a New Risk Zone Along the Polish Border”

A Russian jet-powered UAV strike on September 28, 2026, approximately 2 km from the Polish border crossing at Dorohusk marked another episode in which Russia’s air campaign against Ukraine produced ...
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Rosneft – A7 – 2Rivers: How Oil Revenues Became a Financial Infrastructure for Sanctions Evasion

The leak of A7’s internal documents reveals the emergence of a parallel mechanism for international settlements in which export revenues from Russian oil provided the foreign-currency liquidity needed ...
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Sudan–Ethiopia: The Emerging Risk of a Second War in the Horn of Africa

The probability of a direct military confrontation between Sudan and Ethiopia has increased substantially in 2026, although a deliberate, full-scale interstate war remains constrained by the fact that ...
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South Sudan’s December 2026 Elections: Why a Vote Is Becoming Increasingly Difficult—and Potentially More Dangerous Than Another Delay

South Sudan is formally scheduled to hold its first national elections since independence on 22 December 2026. President Salva Kiir’s government insists that the vote will proceed, and in recent ...
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“The Result Before the Vote: How the Kremlin Is Engineering the 2026 State Duma Elections”

Russia’s parliamentary elections on September 18–20, 2026, are taking place under conditions in which the main parameters of political competition are largely determined before voting even begins. The ...